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Crown Green Handicap

Ken Yale

Team: Black HorseDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

806

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

15

Matches Played

2

Wins

13

Losses

13%

Win Rate

7.0

Avg Win Margin

11.6

Avg Loss Margin

2-8

Home Record

0-5

Away Record

13%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
15 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/5/2023

Only 15 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 15 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

19 Apr17 May31 May21 Jun5 Jul26 Jul23 Aug5 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
13%
score-0.73→contribution-0.29
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.6
score-0.60→contribution-0.09
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
13%
score-0.73→contribution-0.07
Opponent Strength(10%)
854
score-0.92→contribution-0.09
Weighted Score-0.590
Sample Size Confidence
13%(15/41 matches)
Rating823 → shrunk 976→ adjusted 806
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

2W13L15 matches·13.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Black Horse2022–2023Division 3, Division 21521313.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/5/2023Ken EvansH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 3
5/2/2023Rob BallH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
8/23/2022Ian GerrardH2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 2
8/16/2022Graham TinsleyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
7/26/2022Andy HayesH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
7/12/2022Ian CarterH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
7/5/2022A FinneyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
6/28/2022George MarshH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
6/21/2022Keith MakinH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
6/7/2022Jimmy WeaverH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
5/31/2022D WoodsA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
5/24/2022Robbie MarshallH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
5/17/2022Tommy O'DowdA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
5/10/2022Alan WrightH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
4/19/2022Jim GoodeA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LWLLL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
LWLLLLLWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ken Evans0110%9/5/2023
Rob Ball101100%5/2/2023
Ian Gerrard0110%8/23/2022
Graham Tinsley0110%8/16/2022
Andy Hayes0110%7/26/2022
Ian Carter0110%7/12/2022
A Finney0110%7/5/2022
George Marsh101100%6/28/2022
Keith Makin0110%6/21/2022
Jimmy Weaver0110%6/7/2022
Biggest Win
Rob Ball (+8)5/2/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Ian Gerrard (-19)8/23/2022
Best Season
20228% · 13 matches
Worst Season
20228% · 13 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 25%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
85415 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-1214% win rate

By Division

Division 21-12 (8%)
Division 31-1 (50%)
Division 27.7%
1W·12L·13 played
Division 350%
1W·1L·2 played

Debut

Apr 19, 2022

Latest

Sep 5, 2023

Seasons Active

2 (1.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

7.5 (15 total)

Seasons

20222023